@unpublished{aktugtorul2026, author = {Aktu{\u{g}}, Emrehan and Torul, Orhan}, date-modified = {2026-05-30 15:52:47 +0300}, month = {May}, note = {Working Paper}, title = {Election Probabilities and the Treasury Yield Curve}, url = {https://web.bogazici.edu.tr/torul/yield.pdf}, year = {2026}, bdsk-url-1 = {https://web.bogazici.edu.tr/torul/when.pdf}}