@unpublished{aktugtorul2026, title={When Prediction Markets Disagree: Cross-Platform Dispersion and Politically Sensitive Equity Volatility}, author={Aktu{\u{g}}, Emrehan and Torul, Orhan}, year={2026}, month={March}, note={Working Paper}, url={https://web.bogazici.edu.tr/torul/when.pdf} }