@unpublished{AktugTorul2026Inertia,
  author = {Aktug, Emrehan and Torul, Orhan},
  title = {Informational Inertia in a Decentralized Prediction Market: Evidence from the May 2024 CPI Leak},
  year = {2026},
  month = apr,
  note = {SSRN Working Paper No. 6642687. Posted April 24, 2026; revised April 29, 2026},
  institution = {Sabanci University and Boğaziçi University},
  keywords = {Prediction markets, Price discovery, Informational efficiency, Macroeconomic news, Polymarket, Bitcoin, Ethereum},
  doi = {10.2139/ssrn.6642687},
  url = {https://ssrn.com/abstract=6642687}
}